HIPs
to affect 2007 market from the start

Mandatory Home Information Packs
could be preceded by a surge in supply - and followed
by a famine.

Scheduled to start on 1st June 2007,
feedback from Jackson-Stops & Staff clients and contacts
suggests that market reaction to mandatory Home Information
Packs (HIPs) might be much stronger than the government
anticipates. Talking to potential sellers in particular,
two points stand out. First, general awareness of the
coming changes remains very low. Second, when sellers
do become aware of what they will have to do to legally
market their property, most take exception and make it
clear that, if they can avoid such measures by going to
the market before the legislation comes into force, they
will.

Despite this, our expectation is that the direct impact
of HIPs on the upper market will be relatively muted.
Though the packs will cost, in our view, at least £1,000
for a good country house and involve some investment of
time, other factors influencing when someone decides to
sell, say, a £750,000 home, will in most cases overwhelm
such considerations. In the mainstream market, where the
relative cost of a HIP will be larger and so-called speculative
marketing is more common, the picture is likely to be
very different. We believe sellers will indeed come to
the market earlier in order to avoid the cost and delay
of providing a HIP, causing a surge in supply in the spring
of 2007. Given that spring always sees a sharp increase
in newly marketed properties anyway, the effect of a double
surge could well be to create a glut, even before
taking into account the views of, amongst others, the
Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) on how buyers might
react.

| Contents
of the mandatory Home Information Pack |
Terms of sale

Evidence of title

Replies to standard preliminary enquiries made on
behalf of buyers

Copies of any planning, listed building and building
regulations consents and approvals

For new properties, copies of warranties and guarantees

Any guarantees for work carried out on the property

Replies to local searches; and...

A Home Condition Report based on a professional
survey of the property, including an energy efficiency
assessment.

Also, for leasehold properties:

A copy of the lease

Most recent service charge accounts and receipts

Building insurance policy details and payment receipts

Regulations made by the landlord or
management company; and

Memorandum and articles of the landlord or management
company.

Source: ODPM |

Owners of mainstream price properties
are more likely to be deterred by the cost of a HIP an
so come to the market before June 2007. |
 |


In a report issued in February
2006, the CML expressed its concern that first time buyers
and others wanting to benefit from
the information that HIPs provide might be tempted to
hold back until they become available. This raises the
prospect that buyers might be holding off just when sellers
are flooding the market, only to then start looking in
June 2007, when new sellers become scarce. Such a scenario
would undoubtedly have a knock-on effect at all
levels of the market. Furthermore, those who doubt the
potential of HIPs to affect the market in such a way might
bear in mind the dramatic leap in transactions that took
place during the stamp duty holiday of 1991/2,
during which the average financial incentive was about
the same as the cost of a HIP (and well below it in real
terms). To further complicate matters, the CML has also
suggested, in an open submission to the Office of the
Deputy Prime Minister, that the start date of 1st June
2007 will need to be reviewed ...if there is any
slippage in the delivery of HIPs, which we think is likely...

Our hope is that many of the current uncertainties will
be ironed out over the coming months, enabling the obvious
pros and cons of Home Information Packs to be seen by
all, minimising the market impact of their introduction
in the process. That said, if you do have the luxury of
choice, it might be simpler to move this year, rather
than next.


 

Top: Suffolk, £237,600
guide
Middle: Devon, £200,000 guide
Bottom: Gloucestershire, £189,950 guide |